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Worst Case Scenario Fallacy


Just In Case Fallacy / Worst Case Scenario Fallacy

The just in case fallacy is one of the many smokescreens that are used to cover the fact that the reasoning is based on one of the three fallacies of Agrippa's trilemma. Whenever a logical fallacy is committed, the fallacy has its roots in Agrippa's trilemma. All human thought (without Divine revelation) is based on one of three unhappy possibilities. These three possibilities are infinite regression, circular reasoning, or axiomatic thinking. This problem is known as Agrippa's trilemma. Some have claimed that only logic and math can be known without Divine revelation; however, that is not true. Without Divine revelation, neither logic nor math can be known. Science is also limited to the pragmatic because of the weakness on human reasoning, which is known as Agrippa's trilemma.

Just In Case Fallacy / Worst Case Scenario Fallacy occurs when the worst case scenario is used rather than the most likely scenario in making an argument.

Examples of the Just In Case Fallacy / Worst Case Scenario Fallacy

"Climate change is very likely that it will impact future catastrophes. Therefore, we need greater international control of every aspect of life, or the polar ice caps will melt and life will cease to exist on Earth."

This is a call to vote for people who will change the way you live. It's worth it, after all, if global warming is going to ruin the planet. Oops! That should be climate change, since the climate is always changing, but it looks like the Earth stopped warming many years ago. Jesus Christ tells us not to worry. He has it all in His Hands. And He has also revealed, through science, that the warming trend is part of a cyclical pattern that is not caused by human influence but by solar energy. We have no control over it. Don't let people drive you with fear and pseudoscience.

Bill Nye arguing against Creation science: "What keeps the United States ahead, what makes the United States a world leader, is our technology, our new ideas, our innovations. If we continue to eschew science, eschew the process, and try to divide science into observational science and historic science, we are not going to move forward, we’ll not embrace natural laws, we’ll not make discoveries, we’ll not invent and innovate and stay ahead."

Bill is saying that we dare to know the difference between observational science and historic science or we will stop knowing about natural laws and all progress would cease. The difference between observational and historic science is the difference between observation and assumption. Bill doesn't tell us how knowing the difference between observation and assumption would stop us from knowing about natural laws. In a naturalistic worldview, natural laws must be assumed because of Agrippa's Trilemma. However, Christ tells us that we don't have to assume. We can know about natural laws. Christ tells us that He will faithfully enforce them, so we need not worry.

Fallacy Abuse

Rocky: "God is a just God. He is an absolutely holy God. He must judge sin. By your own admission, you have stolen, lied, and committed adultery. If you were to die tomorrow, would the just and holy God judge you worthy of Heaven or of Hell?"

Sandy: "This is an example of the worst case scenario fallacy. Hell probably doesn't exist. God probably doesn't exist. I'll take my chances."

Rocky: "When you talk of probability, can you share your math?"

Sandy: "I didn't do the math myself but a book on logic implied that Hell probably doesn't exist. They didn't tell how they did their math."

Rocky: "I know, by Divine revelation, that Hell does exist. The probability of Hell being nonexistent is exactly zero. It's real and you don't want to go there. The probability of you going to Hell if you choose to reject Jesus Christ is exactly 100 percent. However, if you come to Him merely to avoid Hell, He isn't really interested in that. He is looking for those who will love Him and obey Him. That is why He created you. And that is the only place where a human being can find peace and satisfaction."


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